Hawaii Governor - 2018: Ige (D) +29.0 | 2014: Ige (D) +12.4 Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls . In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governor's office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. But the seat is not considered competitive in November. Nate Cohn I would definitely say Josh Green, Briscoe said. Jill Tokuda, a former state senator backed by the political arm of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, won the Democratic primary in Hawaiis Second Congressional District, according to The Associated Press, after a sometimes vicious campaign that drew more than a million dollars in outside spending. Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. It is with a grateful heart that we express our fondest mahalo nui loa for your vote and support of our campaign!. . As you know, there is a not a short list of incidences that hes been involved in that are legally of concern, Blair said. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. State of Hawaii. He will face the Republican nominee, Duke Aiona, in November; the winner then will succeed Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Senator Raphael Warnock is out with an early lead in Georgia, but it could all be just a mirage. . Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. Asked for a comment about his numbers, Kahele told the Star- Advertiser in a terse email: (My) official comment is: Why dont you ask Andy Winer?. , George Santos, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks Third Congressional District. Print subscriber but without online access? Nov. 8, 2022. Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. , Katie Hobbs, an election official who stood up to allies of Donald Trump, beat his Republican pick for Arizonas governor, Kari Lake. Georgias Senate race might culminate in a runoff election on Dec. 6 if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. Nov. 8, 2022, Pennsylvania is home to a close Senate race between Lt. Gov. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. Nate Cohn When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. I typically dont offer analysis on solid races so I can spend more . He had previously served as chairman of the states Democratic Party and from 1996 to 2002, he represented parts of Oahu, where he grew up, as a state lawmaker. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. Historically, the selection of Saturday also helped the state find places to hold elections, according to Nedielyn Bueno, a voter service specialist with the Office of Elections. Outside groups supporting Mr. Branco ran attack ads condemning Ms. Tokuda over her 2012 endorsement from the National Rifle Association, though she subsequently supported gun control measures in the State Senate. Ballots are going to be mailed out in just a few weeks so theres not a lot of time to close this lead if Kai Kahele or Vicky Cayetano is going to do it.. Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. Lauren Leatherby Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, a Democrat, was elected to a third term, holding off a strong challenge from a Republican newcomer. All rights reserved. On the Republican side, 48% of Republican primary voters would pick James Duke Aiona a former deputy prosecutor, judge and two-term lieutenant governor. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. Follow along after polls close. NYT Graphics By comparison, 13% of respondents said they have an unfavorable opinion of Green, compared to 29% for Caldwell and 9% for Cayetano, Hawaiis former first lady. Voters can still cast a ballot in person in the primary election on Saturday, if that is their preference, but most are expected to vote by mail. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Gov. Lazaro Gamio 4 year term beginning noon on first Monday in December following election. Only 2% of voters did not recognize Greens name, the lowest of all of the gubernatorial candidates. Voters in Kentucky narrowly rejected an amendment to the State Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion in their state. This is going to be very challenging, based on what these poll results show.. Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history. Nate Cohn Alicia Parlapiano Polls just closed in 19 states and Washington, D.C. To register to vote in Hawaii, one must be a United States citizen, a resident of the state, and at least 18 years old. Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governors office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. Runoff Elections. The campaign has gained momentum, and I look forward to a competitive race.. Telephone: 808-529-4747. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. . Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. Lt. Gov. Meanwhile, 16% said theyd back Kahele and 15% said they planned to vote for Cayetano. We will continue to work hard each day to gain the trust and respect of Hawaii voters as this poll is merely a snapshot of a point in time. A second batch of results is expected to be released three hours after polls close, at 10 p.m. local time on Saturday. Today's Paper. Our average includes all candidates that. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. Nov. 9, 2022, Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. GOP Rep. David Rouzer is coasting to reelection. Georgia: Perdue vs. Ossoff. But his campaign suffered after he decided to rely on Hawaiis public funding system and then failed to file a document required to receive the money. The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. Alicia Parlapiano The Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed her in June, saying in a statement at the time, In Hawaii, Jill has led on affordable housing, education, womens reproductive freedom and gun violence prevention, and shell do the same in Congress.. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaiis next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii Poll shows. Thats according to the results of a new Honolulu Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now poll. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? As any entrepreneur knows, it takes a lot of time and energy to start a new venture, whether it is a business or a campaign. Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. , Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. Candidate Total Votes Polls in Hawaii close at 7 p.m. local time (1 a.m. Eastern time). In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. Polls are now closed in Hawaii. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. Republican Kari Lake is asking the Arizona Supreme Court to review her challenge of her loss to Democrat Katie Hobbs in the 2022 governor's race. Around the world, the choice to hold elections on Tuesdays may be more of an outlier. Lazaro Gamio All in all, he did really well. In the Republican race for governor, former Lt. Gov. Josh Green of Hawaii won the Democratic primary for governor, according to The Associated Press, putting himself in a strong position to secure the top office in a reliably blue state. The primary drew a large amount of outside spending for a relatively off-the-radar House race. For the 317 Democratic responses for their preference for governor and lieutenant governor in the Democratic primary, the margin of error was plus or minus 5.6%. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Duke Aiona and a Honolulu City Council member, Heidi Tsuneyoshi. . We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Telephone: 808-529-4747. Governor and Lieutenant Governor. Hawaii Lieutenant Governor Primary Election Results. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. , Gov. I want to bring people together.. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green Voters in Vermont decided in favor of including abortion protections in their state constitution. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. Some 29% of voters are unsure. One of Mr. Greens campaign ads this year highlighted the fact that Hawaiis Covid infection rates have been among the lowest in the country, though they have still been devastating, particularly in Native Hawaiian communities. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Heres the state of the closest races: Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Im struck by how consistent Greens lead has been, said HNN political analyst Colin Moore. Lawmakers picked Saturday in an attempt to boost voter turnout, according to Hawaii House Journal records provided by the Hawaii State Archives. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. I really liked his communication through the pandemic., Briscoes sister and her husband also met Green on separate occasions and made the same recommendation, Briscoe said. Hawaii has two seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and one of its two Democratic senators, Brian Schatz, is up for re-election. The state has two Senators, Mr. Schatz and Mazie K. Hirono. votes. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Will Houp, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Jaymin Patel, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Mr. Branco and his supporters argue that Ms. Tokuda cannot be trusted because she was endorsed by the National Rifle Association in 2012, although she supported gun restrictions in the State Senate after that and has called for a federal assault weapons ban and a minimum age of 21 for gun purchases. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. Albert Sun No election. , Brandon Williams, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 22nd Congressional District. Ruth Igielnik Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. [50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election. , Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire was re-elected, holding on to one of Democrats most vulnerable seats in a tight contest for Senate control. Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot. Mahalo for supporting Honolulu Star-Advertiser. The choice mirrors an 1845 law that set federal elections on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November.. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Kahele, who is from Hawaii County, saw his strongest support on Kauai. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Were tracking the remaining uncalled House races, and the most recently called races, as states continue to count the remaining votes. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. Hawaii amended its law in 2010, moving Primary Day to August from September in order to comply with a federal law mandating that members of the military receive ballots at least 45 days before federal elections. Governor", "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor", "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat", "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game', "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out", "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed", "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. As of July, Hawaii was the most expensive state in the nation to live in. The primary was scheduled for August 13, 2022. In this solidly blue state, the Democratic primaries are likely to determine the November winners. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. Hawaii has elected only one Republican governor in the last 50 years, so the focus is on the Democratic primary though Republicans will also be choosing a nominee, from a crowded 10-candidate field. Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. . race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), Hawaii State American Federation of Labor & Congress of Industrial Organizations, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357, International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142, University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA), Daniel H. Cunningham, independent candidate for governor in, Sherry Menor-McNamara, president and CEO of, Sam Puletasi, candidate for lieutenant governor in. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. Enjoy this free story! Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. Jurisdiction. Mr. Schatz has held the seat since 2012, when he was appointed after the death of Senator Daniel K. Inyoue, a towering figure in Hawaii who had served in the Senate since 1963. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Governor Republican Primary. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Voters will pick their candidates to replace Gov. Hes a great guy, they said.. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. His Republican challenger, Herschel Walker, is backed by Donald Trump. , Dina Titus, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas First Congressional District. United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, in 36 states and three territories. Updated Aug. 16, 2022, 2:48 PM ET. Lt. Gov. Alicia Parlapiano Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county. Challenging Mr. Schatz in the primary is Steve Tataii, a conflict-resolution consultant who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House in 1992, 2002 and 2008. But the state also offered in-person voting, with polls closing at 7 p.m. Saturday in Hawaii (1 a.m. Eastern time on Sunday) which is also the deadline for mail ballots to be returned. Here are the main races well be watching. You're reading a premium story. Green raised $774,616 between July 1 and Mondays filing deadline. You deserve to hear our thinking. Initially, he focused on combating homelessness. Following the frontrunners is Aloha Freedom Coalition leader Gary Cordery at 7% with Lynn Mariano and Paul Morgan both at 3%. In a statement to the Honolulu Star-Advertiser, Greens campaign said, Green is viewed as consistent and credible, winning high job approval and favorability ratings from voters who view him as the leader of the largest public health initiative in state history. But with turnout typically much lower in primary elections and in midterm cycles, that delay was not expected this year. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Mahalo for supporting Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Theres a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. . And probably, he determined that all he has to do is get 35 to 40% of the vote or less in order to win this nomination.. See the rest of our predictions. The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. Officials can start processing and tabulating ballots up to 18 days before Election Day (ballots were mailed out in late July, and early, in-person voting was also available), but no results are released until the last person in line at a polling place has voted. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Hawaii's races on Aug. 13, 2022. . Hawaii Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to November 8th . Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Tuesday was selected because it gave eligible voters in rural areas, traveling by horse and buggy, enough time to get to a polling location and make it back for market day, which was typically Wednesday, according to an interview Don Ritchie, a former Senate historian, gave NPR in 2012. There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. #7-500 Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. However, if my rating for this , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Jill Tokuda campaigned in Kapolei, Hawaii, on Saturday. N.C.-13 and Ohio-9 New Mexicos second Congressional District will depend on how many people return their ballots at the time. 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